Rand’s ‘New Calculus’ and the Impasse of US Defense Restructuring

by Carl Conetta and Charles Knight, PDA Briefing Report #4, August 1993.
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Reviews a key planning study contributing to US post-Cold War strategic thinking and force planning, revealing critical shortcomings in the planning scenarios and simulations that continue to shape US defense policy. Individual sections address the “two war” standard of sufficiency, the persistence of “Central Front” logic, and assessments of the requirements for strategic airlift and combat aircraft modernization.